JL MAG Rare-Earth Industry Price Briefing 05-27~05-31

Week 22, 2019

1. 重要新闻简报Briefing of Important News

本周稀土市场行情，镨钕，镝铁和铽价格继续上涨。 亚洲金属网价格: 镨钕金属价格435-440元/KG (上海有色，430-450元/KG)，镝铁合金价格1930-1950元/KG (上海有色，1950-2000元/KG)，金属铽价格4450-4500元/KG (上海有色，4500-4600元/KG)。

This week, prices of PrNd, DyFe and Tb kept increasing. Price from Asian Metal at this weekend presented: PrNd metal 435-440RMB/KG (price from SMM: 430-450RMB/KG), DyFe alloy 1930-1950RMB/KG (price from SMM: 1950-2000RMB/KG), and Tb metal 4450-4500RMB/KG (price from SMM: 4500-4600RMB/KG).

2019年4月全国出口稀土产品4328.9吨，出口金额40.9百万美元；1至当月累计出口数量15626.3吨，累计出口金额150.4百万美元；累计出口数量相对同期下降4.3%，累计出口金额相对同期，下降8.2%。其中，稀土永磁体产品4月份出口数量2903.7吨，同比增加5.46%，出口均价46.16USD/kg, 同比减少13.31%。整体1至4月份，累计出口数量增加1.75%，出口金额下降8.91%。

The export volume of rare earth in China in this April was 4328.9 tons with export amount USD40.9 million. The accumulated export volume of rare earth from January to this month was 15626.3 tons with total export value USD150.4 million. The total export volume of rare earth fell 4.3% and the accumulated export value of rare earth fell 8.2% compared with the same period of last year. In April, The export volume of rare earth permanent magnet was 2903.7 tons with an increase of 5.46% while average export price was 4616USD/kg with a decrease of 13.31%. From January to April, accumulated export volume rose 1.75% and the export amount fell 8.91%.

2. 业内人士分析Analysis of Professional Insiders

本周稀土市场从上周的冲高回落中迅速调整步入稳定，随后再度开启上涨模式，但此次上涨相对平缓，市场整体表现稳健。

This week, the rare earth market was quickly adjusted and then stepped into stability compared to last week's high and back, and then re-started the rising mode, but the rise was relatively slow and the overall performance of the market was stable.

周初，稀土主要产品仍延续回落余波，经历了疯狂与挫折后市场明显冷静，虽然不再哄抬物价也并没有出现大幅让利抛售，生产厂家随行入市，稳价态度强烈。随着成的逐渐平稳，贸易商及部分小厂低价成信息趋冷，且随着贸易战形势及稀土呼声的热度，仅仅在周二，业内态度就发生微妙转变，止跌结束转向企稳。

At the beginning of the week, the main products of rare earth continued to fall back. After going through craziness and setbacks, the market was obviously calm. Although prices were no longer being pushed up, there was no significant profit selling. Manufacturers entered the market with strong attitude of stabilizing price. With the gradual stabilization of transactions, the information of low-price transactions of traders and some small industries has cooled. With the progress of trade war and the enthusiasm of rare earth, the attitude of the industry has changed subtly on Tuesday, the rally has turned to stabilization.

就国内稀土市场而言，贸易战近期主要可能出现的影响如下：

As far as the domestic rare earth market was concerned, the main possible impacts of the trade war in the near future are as following:

6月1日，中国大概率对产于美国的稀土金属矿征加25%关税，成本竞争几乎毫无优势，届时，国内轻稀土镨钕供给进一步收缩。

On June 1st, China would probably impose 25% tariff on rare earth metals produced in the United States, with almost no advantage in cost competition. At that time, the domestic supply of light rare earth PrNd would shrink further.

对美稀土出口限制可能越来越大，目前暂时停留在反制示威阶段，作用更多的是增加以后谈判筹码，但预期谈判结果不容乐观，限制对美出口可能变现。回顾历史，历来对外限制稀土出口均将导致国内稀土价格出现上涨，近期价格提振亦多基于此。下周稀土大概率保持上涨，且不同于本周的稳健，且可能出现的新的政策利好多重刺激将导致稀土全线产品涨速加快！（瑞道金属网）

The restrictions on rare earth exporting to the United States might become more and more serious. At present, we are on the stage of Anti-Demonstration and consider it as bargaining chips for further negotiation. However, the expected outcome of the negotiations is not optimistic, and the restrictions on exports to the United States might be done. Historically, restrictions on rare earth exports had been always leading to an increase in domestic rare earth prices, which was the reason why recent price kept increasing. Next week, probably the price of rare earth will keep rising, and distinguished from the stable price of this week, there may be new policies and multiple stimulus which will lead to an acceleration of the growth of all rare earth products! (Ruidow.com)

南方稀土发布5月27日稀土氧化物挂牌价

Listing price on May. 27th from China South Rare Earth

单位：万元/吨（出厂含税价）

Unit: 10,000RMB/ton (EXW price incl. VAT)

3. 趋势图（参考亚洲金属网）Tendency Chart (refer to Asian Metal)

2019年5月31日

May 31, 2019

提示：以上信息仅供参考！

Notes: the information above is for reference only!